Strategic Modeling Fellow, Lockheed Martin Aeronautics

Philip Fahringer serves as both an internal and external expert consultant providing strategic level decision support to senior business and government leaders to maximize revenue and performance, while assessing risk and controlling budgets. He applies the skills and disciplines of Process Mapping and Analysis, Discrete Event Simulation, Continuous Process Improvement, Monte Carlo Simulation, Portfolio Analysis, Optimization, Probabilistic Risk Assessment, and Interactive Decision Support Applications to develop and then communicate insights. He holds master’s degrees in operations research and strategic planning and is retired from the US Navy.

President and Owner, Frontline Systems

Dan Fylstra is a pioneer of the software products industry. He was a founding associate editor of Byte magazine and developer of VisiCalc, the first-ever computer spreadsheet. He is the former president of Sierra Sciences. Dan received a Bachelor of Science degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

CEO and Founder, Lumina Decision Systems

Max Henrion, PhD is the founder and CEO of Lumina Decision Systems. He was lead designer of Analytica, about which PC Week said "All the problems of the common spreadsheet are fixed in Analytica”. He is adjunct Professor at Carnegie Mellon, where he used to teach full-time. He was founding President of the Association of Uncertainty and Artificial Intelligence. He coauthored “Uncertainty” (Cambridge Univ Press), three other books, and over 70 refereed articles. He has a BA from Cambridge University and PhD from Carnegie Mellon. He received the 2018 Frank Ramsey Award from the Decision Analysis Society.

Senior Manager of Research, Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA)

Shayne is a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning and policies for local government. He started GFOA's long-term financial planning and policy consulting offering in 2002 and has been working with governments on financial planning and policies ever since. Shayne's financial planning experience also drives his research at GFOA and he is the author of a number of influential publications on financial planning. He received his MPA degree from Northern Illinois University.

Managing Partner, Keelin Reeds Partners

Tom Keelin, inventor of the Metalog distribution, has combined a career in decision analysis practice with innovations to advance the field. Using decision analysis, modeling, and probabilistic simulation, he has developed asset valuation, portfolio management, and business development deal terms methodologies that have enabled greater success for dozens of client companies. Tom is a Fellow of the Society of Decision Professionals, and a founder and director of the Decision Education Foundation, a not-for-profit organization that helps youth learn good decision skills for life. Tom holds three degrees from Stanford University: BA in Economics and MS and PhD in Engineering-Economic Systems.

Principal Operations Research Analyst, CANA Advisors

Connor has over 12 years of experience in scoping, performing, and implementing analytic solutions. He is a published author on artificial intelligence and machine learning in peer-reviewed scientific journals and national security platforms. He is a former Naval Postgraduate School Military Assistant Professor and Operations Research Program Officer, former naval officer and graduate of the United States Navy Fighter Weapons School (Topgun) with numerous operational deployments during 20 years of service. Previously Connor was with the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations Assessment Division (OPNAV N81) in Washington D.C. He holds Master’s degrees from the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California and the Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island.

Executive Director, Probability Management.org

Dr. Savage led the development of the open SIPmath Standard for storing probability distributions as auditable data and founded ProbabilityManagement.org, a nonprofit devoted to making uncertainty actionable. He is author of three books, Chancification: How to Fix the Flaw of Averages, The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty, and Decision Making with Insight, as well as numerous articles. He is an Adjunct Professor in Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University and a Fellow of Cambridge University's Judge Business School. He received his Ph.D. in computational complexity from Yale University.

Sr. Risk Management Consultant & Risk “Mad Scientist,” Highmark Health

Justin has over 15 years of risk management experience with a strong focus in healthcare. He is currently working to help the enterprise make decisions in the face of uncertainty through a risk management program that focuses on risk quantification & optimization strategies, rather than traditional tactical risk & control. His work includes bringing quantification of risk exposures into business decisions in areas such as vendor contracting and insurance purchasing. Additionally, he works with business leaders to develop measures and limits to manage the levels of risk within the enterprise. His core belief is that organizations face a growing challenge of “risk gridlock” due to competing perspectives and a lack of quantitative insight into uncertainty and risk. The result is a fear of uncertainty and a fear to make bold moves to achieve strategic goals.