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Probability Management

Sign In My Account
Chancification
Tools
Excel Tools
ChanceCalc
R Code
XLTree
Standards
SIPmath Standards
2.0 Standard
3.0 Standard
HDR
Metalog
Applications
Arithmetic of Uncertainty
Flaw of Averages Trilogy
Financial Management
Gateway to AI
Military Readiness
Natural Hazards
Pandemic Modeling
PRECISE Uncertainty
Project Management
Renewable Energy
Risk Management
Training
Courses
Webinars
Videos
Presentations
News
News
Publications
Blog
Models
Events
Livestream
About Us
Sponsors
Board Members
Our Team
Volunteers
Kevin McDonald

Kevin McDonald

Assistant Director of Technology and Standards

Head of Products at Solace Finance, a DAO developing an underwriting marketplace for decentralized finance.

Gregory Parnell

Gregory Parnell

Assistant Director of Training and Certification

Professor of Practice in the Department of Industrial Engineering at the University of Arkansas. Research interests include decision and risk analysis and systems engineering. He has a Ph.D. from Stanford University. Retired Air Force Colonel.

Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo

Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo

Assistant Director of Factor Analysis of Information Risk (FAIR)

Principal, Technology Risk Modeling & Methodology at Kaiser Permanente. He is responsible for modeling, simulating and assessing non-financial technology risks to support decision making.

Robert Bordley

Robert Bordley

Chair of Advanced Education

Professor and Program Director, Systems Engineering and Design Program, University of Michigan Ann Arbor; formerly National Science Foundation, Booz-Allen Hamilton, General Motors

John Button

John Button

Chair of Risk Strategy

Gartner Risk Advisor. Managing editor of several publications including FAIR-CAM Control Physiology, Cultural Calamity, The Tao of Risk Management, and The Drone Age.

Jimmy Chavez

Jimmy Chavez

Chair of Construction Applications

3rd generation contractor and construction Project Executive at Command Performance Constructors. VP of Operations and Division Lead for federal contracting. Experienced in construction project management and probabilistic estimating.

Thomas Chesnutt

Thomas Chesnutt

Chair of Water Practice

Tom Chesnutt is the CEO of A & N Technical Services, Inc. with over thirty years of experience in water analytics.

Andy Cunningham

Andy Cunningham

Consultant on Positioning

Founder of marketing strategy firm, Cunningham Collective. Andy helped Steve Jobs launch the Macintosh and played key roles in marketing such new categories as video games, personal computers, desktop publishing, digital imaging, and SaaS. Author of Get to Aha!: Discover Your Positioning DNA and Dominate Your Competition. 

Shaun Doheney

Shaun Doheney

Chair of Chance-Informed Forecasting

Senior Data and Analytics Strategy Advisor for Amazon Web Services (AWS); Senior Operations Research Analyst; Data Scientist; and Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel (Retired).

Doug Hubbard

Doug Hubbard

Chair of Decisions and Measurements

President of Hubbard Decision Research and author of How to Measure Anything. Video

Paul Kaplan

Paul Kaplan

Chair of Investment Applications

Financial economist for 35 yrs (retired). Developed Ibbotson Associates’ modern portfolio theory software. Co-developed methodology for Morningstar’s next generation of asset allocation optimization software.

Shayne Kavanagh

Shayne Kavanagh

Chair of Local Government Applications

Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning and policies for local government. Video

Tom Keelin

Tom Keelin

Chair of Research

Founder and Managing Partner at Keelin Reeds Partners; former Worldwide Managing Director, Strategic Decision Group; Co-founder Decision Education Foundation.

Daniel Krashin

Daniel Krashin

Chair of Renewable Energy Applications

Graduate Student at Stanford University and Power Design Engineer.

Connor McLemore

Connor McLemore

Chair of National Security Applications

Principal Operations Research Analyst with CANA Advisors. Former Naval Postgraduate School Military Assistant Professor and Operations Research Program Officer. Graduate of the United States Navy Fighter Weapons School (Topgun) with numerous operational deployments during 20 years of naval service.

Brian Putt

Brian Putt

Chair of Applications and Technical Support

Consulting Decision Analyst. 41 years at Chevron (retired). Developed DA Practice and conducted probabilistic analysis of capital investment. Video

Matthew Raphaelson

Matthew Raphaelson

Chair of Financial Applications
Retail banking executive for 25 years. Treasurer for San Francisco Conservatory of Music, and former board member for BAI, a banking industry association.

Steve Roemerman

Steve Roemerman

Chair of Best Modeling Practice
Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis, Inc. Video

Justin Schell

Justin Schell

Chair of Healthcare Applications

Director of Decision and Capital Analysis & Risk “Mad Scientist” at Highmark Health. Over 25 years of experience in risk management, decision support, and finance.

Kennan Scott

Kennan Scott

Chair of Secondary Education

West Oakland Middle School teacher with a background in Civil Engineering and Transportation Management. 

Keith Shepherd

Keith Shepherd

Chair of Agricultural Applications

Principal Scientist at World Agroforestry (ICRAF) and Advisor to Innovative Solutions for Decision Agriculture (iSDA) with 40 years’ experience in tropical land management.

Alex Sidorenko

Alex Sidorenko

Chair of Insurance Applications

Experienced executive across investment, operational risks and insurance. Founder of Risk Academy and Risk Awareness Week. European Risk Manager of the Year in 2021. Co-author of Guide to Effective Risk Management 3.0.

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Kevin McDonald
Gregory Parnell
Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo
Robert Bordley
John Button
Jimmy Chavez
Thomas Chesnutt
Andy Cunningham
Shaun Doheney
Doug Hubbard
Paul Kaplan
Shayne Kavanagh
Tom Keelin
Daniel Krashin
Connor McLemore
Brian Putt
Matthew Raphaelson
Steve Roemerman
Justin Schell
Kennan Scott
Keith Shepherd
Alex Sidorenko
 
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