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Probability Management

Sign In My Account
Chancification
Tools
Excel Tools
ChanceCalc
R Code
XLTree
Standards
SIPmath Standards
2.0 Standard
3.0 Standard
HDR
Metalog
Applications
Arithmetic of Uncertainty
Flaw of Averages Trilogy
Financial Management
Gateway to AI
Military Readiness
Natural Hazards
Pandemic Modeling
PRECISE Uncertainty
Project Management
Renewable Energy
Risk Management
Training
Courses
Webinars
Videos
Presentations
News
News
Publications
Blog
Models
Events
Livestream
About Us
Sponsors
Board Members
Our Team
Volunteers
Phil Fahringer

Phil Fahringer

Strategic Modeling Engineer Fellow with Lockheed Martin. Over 37 years combined experience in the military and industry. Master’s degrees in operations research and strategic studies, from the US Naval Postgraduate School and the US Army War College respectively, and an undergraduate degree in Business Logistics from Pennsylvania State University.  Leads Lockheed Martin Corporation Strategic Modeling and Decision Support Community of Practice and Co-chairs the Military Operations Research Society probability management Community of Practice. Active with ProbabilityManagement.org since 2013.

Nancy Garrett

Nancy Garrett

Vice President of Market & Provider Analytics at Highmark Health. She brings together market expertise from both payer and provider perspectives to create next generation analytics that empower providers to take on risk and improve population health. Treasurer of the YWCA Minneapolis.

Deborah Gordon

Deborah Gordon

Over 30 years of experience in algorithm design, signal processing, and networks. Active in local government and advises several small start-up tech companies. Holds several patents for medical instrumentation.

Shayne Kavanagh

Shayne Kavanagh

Senior Manager of Research for GFOA. Leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning and policies for local government.

Connor McLemore

Connor McLemore

Principal Operations Research Analyst for CANA Advisors and Chair of National Security Applications since 2014. Former Naval Postgraduate School Military Assistant Professor and Operations Research Program Officer. Graduate of the United States Navy Fighter Weapons School (Topgun) with numerous operational deployments during 20 years of naval service. Has taught SIPmath at the Naval Postgraduate School and co-authored several articles and models displayed on the nonprofit’s Military Readiness page.

Gregory Parnell

Gregory Parnell

Professor of Practice in the Department of Industrial Engineering at the University of Arkansas. Research interests include decision and risk analysis and systems engineering. Co-editor of Decision Making for Systems Engineering and Management, (3rd Ed, 2022), lead author for the Handbook of Decision Analysis, (2013), and editor of Trade-off Analytics: Creating and Exploring the System Tradespace, (2017).  He has a Ph.D. from Stanford University. Retired Air Force Colonel.

Steve Roemerman

Steve Roemerman

Co-founder, Chairman and CEO of Lone Star Analysis with over 30 years of experience leading international organizations in strategic decision-making. Led a multiyear international study defining best practices in AI, modeling, simulation, and analysis. This peer reviewed work is accepted as a definitive standard.  Invited lecturer at several graduate schools and universities and publications include papers, articles, and books. Holds patents awarded and pending.  Steve has been actively involved with ProbabilityManagement.org since 2014.

Michael Salama

Michael Salama

Board Member Emeritus

Vice President and Lead Tax Counsel, Walt Disney Company.

Harry Markowitz

Harry Markowitz

(1927-2023)

Nobel Laureate in Economics

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