|
The best way to learn about Probability
Management is to explore interactively. The following documented
sample models do not require any software other than Microsoft Excel.
(You do need to enable macros.)
Companion Models to Published Articles and Seminars
The Flaw of Averages In Project Management, Philip Fahringer, John Hinton, Marc Thibault, and Sam Savage, PMI Virtual Library, 2011
 |
|
The Article
The Model |
Portfolio Model, developed by Sam Savage & Paul Kaplan demonstrating interchangeable libraries of longnormal, fat-tailed and historical asset assumptions. Presented at the 21stCentury Risk Modeling Seminar, Spring 2010.
|
 |
Toward a Consolidated Risk Statement, Sam Savage & Aaron Brown, Risk Professional Magazine, December 2009
 |
|
The Article
The Model |
Other Models
|
