– a non-profit

Promoting the communication of uncertainty through education, best practices, and our open SIPmath™ standard, which represents probability distributions as auditable data.

What's new:

February 2014:
 • Article on Probability Management in Government Finance Review Magazine

  (used with permission)
 • Meeting in San Diego.

December 2013:

 • Webinar on Managing Project Uncertainty - Stanford University

November 2013:
 • Article on The Sequestetron in Analytics Magazine.

June 2013:
 • A prototype for estimating the impact of uncertain tax revenues was presented at the 107th annual meeting of the Government Finance Officials Association in San Francisco. Download the shortfall model here.

May 2013
 • Meeting in San Diego.

Sam Savage, Executive Director, discusses the Arithmetic of Uncertainty at the Centre for Risk Studies at Cambridge University.

Executive Director Sam Savage

Please support our efforts and donate

For a modest donation you may join us and support these efforts. Members gain access to reserved content in the Members Area, including the SIPmath™ Modeler Tools for Excel, which facilitate the development of SIP math models, but are not required to run them. Probability Management, Inc. has applied for recognition under Internal Revenue Code section 501(c)(3) for non-profit consideration, and donations are currently fully tax deductible. Should the organization be denied public charity status, the deduction as a qualified donation will be lost and the contribution will have to be considered a business expense if eligible.
Donate >

Copyright © 2014 To contact us, email